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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

New Orleans Saints vs San Francisco 49ers

Christian McCaffrey Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-115/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 39.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 36.5 @ -109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 49ers may pass less in this week's contest (and call more carries) since they be rolling with backup QB Mac Jones.

The model projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The Saints defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, compelling opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (34.1 per game) since the start of last season.

Christian McCaffrey has run a route on 69.4% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 100th percentile when it comes to running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 49ers are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a running game script.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the 49ers to pass on 52.6% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week.

The 10th-fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the San Francisco 49ers since the start of last season (a mere 56.3 per game on average).

With a bad 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (3rd percentile) this year, Christian McCaffrey stands among the top pass-game RBs in the NFL in the open field.

Since the start of last season, the fierce Saints defense has yielded the 9th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing RBs: a feeble 6.0 yards.

More Christian McCaffrey Player Props

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