Christian McCaffrey Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 18

NFL · Player Props

Christian McCaffrey

RB · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 18, 2025

Updated Jan 4, 2026 1:02 AM EST

Analysis

Christian McCaffrey Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 40.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 50.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
Christian McCaffrey's 80.6% Route Participation Rate this year signifies a meaningful growth in his passing offense volume over last year's 68.1% mark.
In this contest, Christian McCaffrey is predicted by the projection model to land in the 100th percentile when it comes to RBs with 8.3 targets.
In regards to air yards, Christian McCaffrey grades out in the towering 100th percentile among running backs this year, totaling a remarkable 21.0 per game. (due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage, that is far more notable than it sounds since most RBs average negative air yards).
Christian McCaffrey profiles as one of the leading running backs in the pass game this year, averaging an outstanding 53.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 100th percentile.

Favors Under

The model projects the San Francisco 49ers offense to be the 8th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 28.78 seconds per snap.
The weather report calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
Christian McCaffrey's ability to grind out extra yardage has tailed off this season, notching a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 6.53 rate last season.
This year, the imposing Seattle Seahawks defense has conceded the 10th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing running backs: a meager 5.5 yards.
The Seahawks safeties grade out as the 6th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in covering receivers.