Christian McCaffrey Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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NFL · Player Props

Christian McCaffrey

RB · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Chicago Bears · Week 17, 2025

Updated Dec 29, 2025 1:12 AM EST

Analysis

Christian McCaffrey Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 38.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 44.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Christian McCaffrey's 81.1% Route Participation Rate this season reflects a significant progression in his air attack volume over last season's 68.1% mark.
Our trusted projections expect Christian McCaffrey to total 8.3 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 100th percentile among running backs.
Christian McCaffrey has put up a colossal 22.0 air yards per game this year: 100th percentile when it comes to running backs. (That might not seem very overwhelming, but most RBs average negative air yards due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage).
Christian McCaffrey checks in as one of the leading pass-catching RBs this year, averaging a remarkable 54.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 100th percentile.

Favors Under

The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
Right now, the 8th-slowest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the 49ers.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense this year: 10th-fewest in the league.
Christian McCaffrey's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season shows a substantial diminishment in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last season's 6.5% rate.
The Chicago Bears defense has surrendered the 9th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 28.0) versus RBs this year.