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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

San Francisco 49ers vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Christian McCaffrey Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 43.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 44.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Christian McCaffrey's 81.0% Route Participation% this year illustrates an impressive boost in his passing attack volume over last year's 68.1% rate.
  • In this week's game, Christian McCaffrey is projected by the projection model to finish in the 99th percentile among RBs with 6.8 targets.
  • Christian McCaffrey has accrued a whopping 21.0 air yards per game this year: 100th percentile among RBs. (This might not seem too impressive, but most RBs average negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
  • Christian McCaffrey profiles as one of the leading RB receiving threats this year, averaging an exceptional 62.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 100th percentile.
  • Christian McCaffrey's ball-catching skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 80.7% to 85.3%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 12.5-point advantage, the 49ers are a huge favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their typical approach.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the 49ers to pass on 52.0% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to have only 126.7 offensive plays run: the 4th-fewest out of all the games this week.
  • Christian McCaffrey's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year conveys a noteworthy drop-off in his effectiveness in the open field over last year's 6.5% mark.
  • When it comes to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, Tennessee's collection of DEs has been outstanding this year, profiling as the 5th-best in football.

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