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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Cleveland Browns vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Christian McCaffrey Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-109/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 39.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 37.5 @ +106.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 133.1 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • Christian McCaffrey's 81.0% Route Participation Rate this year shows a noteworthy gain in his pass attack usage over last year's 68.1% mark.
  • In this game, Christian McCaffrey is forecasted by the model to slot into the 98th percentile among RBs with 6.7 targets.
  • When talking about air yards, Christian McCaffrey ranks in the towering 100th percentile among running backs this year, accruing a monstrous 21.0 per game. (because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more noteworthy than it appears since most RBs have negative air yards).
  • Christian McCaffrey has been one of the top pass-catching running backs this year, averaging a stellar 64.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 100th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a running game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to be the 4th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 51.4% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 26-mph being predicted in this game) usually mean lessened passing efficiency, reduced pass volume, and higher ground volume.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Browns, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in football (a mere 28.9 per game) this year.
  • Christian McCaffrey's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year conveys an impressive decline in his effectiveness in the open field over last year's 6.5% mark.

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