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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Christian McCaffrey Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-107/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 52.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 49.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 131.1 total plays called: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • The 6th-most plays in the league have been run by the San Francisco 49ers this year (a colossal 59.9 per game on average).
  • The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.
  • The Cardinals defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (36.2 per game) this year.
  • Christian McCaffrey's 81.0% Route Participation% this season indicates a remarkable growth in his passing offense workload over last season's 68.1% mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • The San Francisco O-line ranks as the 10th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • Christian McCaffrey's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year represents a substantial decrease in his effectiveness in the open field over last year's 6.5% mark.
  • The Cardinals defense has allowed the 4th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 22.0) vs. RBs this year.
  • The Cardinals pass defense has shown good efficiency vs. running backs this year, yielding 5.12 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-fewest in football.

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