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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Christian McCaffrey Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 39.7 pass attempts per game versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 4th-most in football.
  • Christian McCaffrey has run a route on 79.5% of his offense's passing plays last year, ranking him in the 100th percentile among running backs.
  • The leading projections forecast Christian McCaffrey to notch 5.4 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 94th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • When it comes to air yards, Christian McCaffrey grades out in the lofty 100th percentile among running backs last year, accumulating a staggering 10.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more notable than it sounds since most RBs average negative air yards).
  • With an outstanding 37.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (100th percentile) last year, Christian McCaffrey ranks as one of the top pass-game RBs in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers are a 6.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the 49ers to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 53.4% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects this game to see the 3rd-fewest plays run among all games this week at 125.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

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