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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Christian McCaffrey Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-113/-117).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 38.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 40.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Carolina Panthers will be forced to start backup quarterback PJ Walker in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The Panthers are a massive 11-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 8th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Christian McCaffrey has been used more as a potential target this year (74.9% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (47.3%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Carolina Panthers have run the 3rd-least plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 52.3 plays per game.
  • Christian McCaffrey has accumulated far fewer air yards this year (-1.0 per game) than he did last year (11.0 per game).
  • Christian McCaffrey has notched substantially fewer receiving yards per game (42.0) this year than he did last year (48.0).
  • Christian McCaffrey's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 92.9% to 81.4%.
  • Christian McCaffrey's pass-catching effectiveness has tailed off this season, notching just 6.13 yards-per-target vs a 8.32 rate last season.

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