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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Christian McCaffrey Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 40.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-least plays run out of all the games this week at 130.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Christian McCaffrey has run more routes this year (70.8% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (47.3%).
  • THE BLITZ projects Christian McCaffrey to notch 5.3 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 94th percentile among RBs.
  • Christian McCaffrey has totaled a monstrous 7.0 air yards per game this year: 99th percentile among running backs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
  • Christian McCaffrey's skills in generating extra yardage have gotten better this year, compiling 10.21 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to just 6.32 mark last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers are a massive 9.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 49.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 3rd-least in the league.
  • Christian McCaffrey has totaled substantially fewer receiving yards per game (25.0) this year than he did last year (47.0).
  • Christian McCaffrey's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 92.9% to 85.1%.

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