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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Carries
Player Prop Week 7

San Francisco 49ers vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Christian McCaffrey Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-149/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -149.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to run the 7th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 64.2 plays per game.
  • The projections expect Christian McCaffrey to accumulate 19.0 rush attempts in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 97th percentile among running backs.
  • Christian McCaffrey has been much more involved in his offense's run game this season (69.7% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (58.1%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The San Francisco 49ers will be forced to use backup QB Mac Jones in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • Our trusted projections expect the 49ers as the 10th-least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 41.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The Falcons safeties profile as the best safety corps in football this year in regard to defending the run.

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