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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Carries
Player Prop Week 2

New Orleans Saints vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Christian McCaffrey Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 49ers are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a running game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to run on 47.4% of their plays: the 3rd-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • The model projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • In this game, Christian McCaffrey is expected by the projections to land in the 97th percentile when it comes to RBs with 18.8 rush attempts.
  • Christian McCaffrey has received 60.0% of his offense's run game usage since the start of last season, placing him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers may pass less in this week's contest (and call more carries) since they be rolling with backup QB Mac Jones.
  • The 10th-fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the San Francisco 49ers since the start of last season (a mere 56.3 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The Saints safeties rank as the 3rd-best safety corps in football since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.

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