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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Carries
Player Prop Week 16

Indianapolis Colts vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Christian McCaffrey Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-105/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 4 points.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 59.4 plays per game.
  • The predictive model expects Christian McCaffrey to earn 16.3 rush attempts this week, on average, putting him in the 85th percentile among RBs.
  • Christian McCaffrey has been a much bigger part of his offense's rushing attack this year (68.2% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (58.1%).
  • As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Indianapolis's collection of DTs has been lousy this year, projecting as the 8th-worst in the league. in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to be the least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 42.3% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see only 125.6 plays on offense run: the lowest number among all games this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

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