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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Carries
Player Prop Week 15

San Francisco 49ers vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Christian McCaffrey Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 12.5-point advantage, the 49ers are a huge favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their typical approach.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to run on 48.0% of their downs: the 6th-highest frequency among all teams this week.
  • In this week's game, Christian McCaffrey is anticipated by the model to secure a spot in the 92nd percentile when it comes to running backs with 19.6 carries.
  • Christian McCaffrey has been a more integral piece of his offense's ground game this year (69.2% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (58.1%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to have only 126.7 offensive plays run: the 4th-fewest out of all the games this week.
  • As it relates to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Tennessee's DE corps has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 5th-best in football.

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