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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Carries
Player Prop Week 12

San Francisco 49ers vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Christian McCaffrey Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+100/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's line implies a running game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to run on 45.7% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects Christian McCaffrey to notch 18.2 rush attempts in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 91st percentile among RBs.
  • Christian McCaffrey has been much more involved in his team's running game this season (69.4% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (58.1%).
  • The Carolina Panthers linebackers grade out as the 5th-worst group of LBs in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to see just 127.2 offensive plays called: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.

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