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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Carries
Player Prop Week 11

Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Christian McCaffrey Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 131.1 total plays called: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • The 6th-most plays in the league have been run by the San Francisco 49ers this year (a colossal 59.9 per game on average).
  • The model projects Christian McCaffrey to garner 17.7 rush attempts in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 89th percentile among running backs.
  • Christian McCaffrey has been much more involved in his team's run game this season (69.4% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (58.1%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.
  • The Arizona defensive tackles grade out as the 6th-best group of DTs in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

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