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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Carries
Player Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Christian McCaffrey Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 49ers are a 6.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the 49ers to run on 46.6% of their chances: the 7th-highest rate among all teams this week.
  • This week, Christian McCaffrey is projected by the projection model to land in the 80th percentile among running backs with 15.9 rush attempts.
  • When it comes to the linebackers' role in run defense, Tampa Bay's LB corps has been dreadful this year, profiling as the worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects this game to see the 3rd-fewest plays run among all games this week at 125.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast Christian McCaffrey to be a much smaller part of his offense's rushing attack in this game (54.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been last year (67.0% in games he has played).

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