Christian McCaffrey Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Christian McCaffrey

NFL · Player Props

Christian McCaffrey

RB · San Francisco 49ers

Carries

San Francisco 49ers vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 7:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Christian McCaffrey Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 5.5-point advantage, the 49ers are favored in this game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the 49ers to run on 46.4% of their downs: the 6th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
In this game, Christian McCaffrey is anticipated by the model to slot into the 96th percentile among RBs with 17.9 carries.
Out of all running backs, Christian McCaffrey ranks in the 95th percentile for carries this year, making up 65.6% of the workload in his offense's running game.
As it relates to opening holes for runners (and the importance it has on all ground game metrics), the O-line of the 49ers grades out as the 7th-best in football last year.

Favors Under

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the projections to see just 120.9 total plays called: the fewest on the slate this week.
The 7th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the San Francisco 49ers this year (just 53.9 per game on average).

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