Christian McCaffrey Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Christian McCaffrey

NFL · Player Props

Christian McCaffrey

RB · San Francisco 49ers

Carries

Cleveland Browns vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 4:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Christian McCaffrey Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-108/-121).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A running game script is implied by the 49ers being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game.
The leading projections forecast the 49ers as the 4th-most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 47.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect Christian McCaffrey to earn 16.9 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile among running backs.
Christian McCaffrey has garnered 68.1% of his team's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 95th percentile among RBs.
The San Francisco 49ers offensive line grades out as the 7th-best in football last year at executing run-blocking assingments.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers offense to be the most sluggish paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 31.72 seconds per snap.
As it relates to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Cleveland's LB corps has been outstanding this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in football.

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