Christian McCaffrey Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Christian McCaffrey

NFL · Player Props

Christian McCaffrey

RB · San Francisco 49ers

Carries

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 24, 2023 12:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Christian McCaffrey Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 7-point advantage, the 49ers are heavily favored in this game, implying much more of a focus on running than their normal game plan.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the 49ers to run on 47.4% of their downs: the 5th-highest clip on the slate this week.
Our trusted projections expect Christian McCaffrey to accumulate 18.6 rush attempts in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 95th percentile among RBs.
In regards to executing run-blocking assignments (and the impact it has on all ground game stats), the offensive line of the 49ers ranks as the 7th-best in the league last year.
When it comes to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Seattle's unit has been dreadful this year, ranking as the 4th-worst in the league. in the league.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the 49ers are expected by the predictive model to call only 62.6 total plays in this contest: the 5th-lowest number among all teams this week.
The San Francisco 49ers have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 53.5 plays per game.
Christian McCaffrey has been a much bigger part of his team's offense this season, staying on the field for 81.9% of snaps compared to just 71.5% last season.

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