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Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey Carries
Player Prop Week 12

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Christian McCaffrey Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -103.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 7-point advantage, the 49ers are heavily favored in this game, implying much more of a focus on running than their normal game plan.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the 49ers to run on 47.4% of their downs: the 5th-highest clip on the slate this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect Christian McCaffrey to accumulate 18.6 rush attempts in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 95th percentile among RBs.
  • In regards to executing run-blocking assignments (and the impact it has on all ground game stats), the offensive line of the 49ers ranks as the 7th-best in the league last year.
  • When it comes to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Seattle's unit has been dreadful this year, ranking as the 4th-worst in the league. in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the 49ers are expected by the predictive model to call only 62.6 total plays in this contest: the 5th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 53.5 plays per game.
  • Christian McCaffrey has been a much bigger part of his team's offense this season, staying on the field for 81.9% of snaps compared to just 71.5% last season.

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