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Christian Kirk

Christian Kirk Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Christian Kirk Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+560/-880).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -780 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -880.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Texans to be the 10th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 58.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • With regard to a defense's impact on pace, at 27.32 seconds per play, the leading projections forecast the Houston Texans to be the 2nd-fastest in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment.
  • The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing teams have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 5th-fewest in the NFL.
  • Christian Kirk has accumulated significantly fewer air yards this year (33.0 per game) than he did last year (81.0 per game).
  • Christian Kirk's 27.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 49.3.
  • This year, the formidable Los Angeles Chargers defense has conceded a feeble 65.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 3rd-best rate in the league.
  • The Chargers defense has yielded the 3rd-fewest touchdowns through the air in the league to WRs: 0.53 per game this year.

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