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Christian Kirk

Christian Kirk Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Baltimore Ravens vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Christian Kirk Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-124/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -101 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -124.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 62.6% rate of passing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 9th-most pass-centric offense in football has been the Houston Texans.
  • To the extent of a defense's effect on tempo, at 27.54 seconds per snap, the projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 5th-fastest in football (adjusted for context) right now.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 44.0 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: most in the league.
  • With a remarkable 76.6% Route Participation Rate (77th percentile) since the start of last season, Christian Kirk rates as one of the WRs with the most usage in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Houston Texans ranks as the 9th-worst in the league this year.
  • Christian Kirk's sure-handedness have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 57.6% to 50.9%.
  • The Ravens safeties project as the 3rd-best unit in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

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