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Christian Kirk Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Houston Texans vs Las Vegas Raiders

Christian Kirk Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+170/-222).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -213 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -222.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In terms of a defense's influence on tempo, at 27.24 seconds per snap, the model projects the Houston Texans as the 2nd-quickest in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Raiders pass defense has been gouged for the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (70.5%) to wideouts this year (70.5%).

The Las Vegas Raiders safeties rank as the 3rd-worst safety corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Texans, who are a huge favorite by 14 points.

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Texans to pass on 54.6% of their plays: the 10th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

Opposing QBs have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Raiders defense this year: 5th-fewest in the league.

Christian Kirk's 54.8% Route Participation% this year reflects a noteworthy diminishment in his pass attack utilization over last year's 78.0% mark.

The Texans offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

More Christian Kirk Player Props

Christian Kirk ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 16

Houston Texans vs Las Vegas Raiders

Christian Kirk Receptions
Player Prop Week 16