Christian Kirk Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Christian Kirk

NFL · Player Props

Christian Kirk

WR · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receptions

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Christian Kirk Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+102/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +114 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Jaguars to be the 8th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 63.2% pass rate.
With respect to a defense's influence on pace, at 27.36 seconds per snap, the leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 5th-fastest in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment.
Our trusted projections expect Christian Kirk to notch 7.3 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 83rd percentile among wideouts.
Christian Kirk has been an integral part of his team's passing attack, earning a Target Share of 23.3% this year, which ranks him in the 85th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
Christian Kirk rates as one of the leading WRs in the league this year, averaging a fantastic 5.4 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 91st percentile.

Favors Under

The Jaguars are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a running game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 10th-fewest in the league.

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