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Christian Kirk

Christian Kirk Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Seattle Seahawks vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Christian Kirk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 37.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 32.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Texans are a 3-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • The Texans rank as the 7th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year with a 63.5% pass rate.
  • The model projects this game to have the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 129.1 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 8th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Texans this year (only 54.4 per game on average).
  • Christian Kirk's 5.8 adjusted yards per target this season reflects a noteable reduction in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 7.7 rate.
  • Christian Kirk's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season shows a substantial decline in his effectiveness in space over last season's 4.1% figure.
  • This year, the imposing Seattle Seahawks defense has conceded the 7th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wideouts: a feeble 7.5 yards.

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