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Christian Kirk

Christian Kirk Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 20

New England Patriots vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Christian Kirk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 48.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 50.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 131.1 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The New England Patriots pass defense has given up the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (67.2%) versus wideouts this year (67.2%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Patriots, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 29.6 per game) this year.
  • Christian Kirk has been a less important option in his team's pass attack this season (12.4% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (19.6%).
  • After totaling 81.0 air yards per game last season, Christian Kirk has produced significantly less this season, currently pacing 27.0 per game.
  • Christian Kirk's 21.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year indicates a noteable reduction in his receiving ability over last year's 45.0 figure.
  • With a poor 56.2% Adjusted Completion% (16th percentile) this year, Christian Kirk rates among the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL among WRs.

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