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Christian Kirk

Christian Kirk Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Christian Kirk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 133.5 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Texans this year (a monstrous 60.4 per game on average).
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game against the Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in the league.
  • This year, the poor Steelers defense has surrendered a colossal 150.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing WRs: the worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Texans are favored in this week's game, implying more of a focus on running than their typical approach.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Texans as the least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 56.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Christian Kirk has been a much smaller piece of his offense's passing offense this season (12.4% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (19.6%).
  • After accruing 81.0 air yards per game last year, Christian Kirk has been a disappointment this year, currently averaging 29.0 per game.
  • Christian Kirk has posted substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (21.0) this year than he did last year (45.0).

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