My Account Log Out
 
 
Christian Kirk

Christian Kirk Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Christian Kirk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread implies a passing game script for the Texans, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
  • At the moment, the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (62.6% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Texans.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to have 131.5 offensive plays called: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.
  • The Houston Texans have called the 3rd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.2 plays per game.
  • This year, the shaky Chiefs pass defense has conceded a colossal 68.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 6th-highest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Kansas City Chiefs, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 31.2 per game) this year.
  • Christian Kirk's 13.4% Target% this year represents a meaningful reduction in his passing game usage over last year's 19.6% mark.
  • After averaging 81.0 air yards per game last year, Christian Kirk has gotten worse this year, currently pacing 36.0 per game.
  • Christian Kirk's 27.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season shows a noteable reduction in his pass-catching talent over last season's 45.0 rate.
  • Christian Kirk's 5.2 adjusted yards per target this year illustrates an impressive diminishment in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 7.7 rate.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™