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The Texans are a heavy 7-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.Our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 6th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 54.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.Opposing QBs teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Tennessee Titans, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the league (just 30.4 per game) this year.Christian Kirk has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (63.6% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (78.0%).After accruing 81.0 air yards per game last season, Christian Kirk has gotten worse this season, now boasting 48.0 per game.
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