My Account Log Out
 
 
Christian Kirk

Christian Kirk Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Christian Kirk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-110/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -109 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Texans will be forced to start backup QB Davis Mills in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • With a 64.1% rate of passing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL has been the Houston Texans.
  • The 5th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Texans this year (a whopping 60.2 per game on average).
  • The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 38.6 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to see only 129.3 plays on offense run: the 5th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • Christian Kirk has totaled far fewer air yards this year (56.0 per game) than he did last year (81.0 per game).
  • Christian Kirk has compiled many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (23.0) this season than he did last season (45.0).
  • Christian Kirk's 5.0 adjusted yards per target this season represents a noteable regression in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 7.7 rate.
  • Christian Kirk's talent in picking up extra yardage have declined this year, notching a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 4.07 figure last year.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™