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Chris Rodriguez Jr.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

Washington Commanders vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Chris Rodriguez Jr. Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+780/-1050).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +820 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +780.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is implied by the Commanders being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • The predictive model expects the Commanders to call the 5th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 68.3 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while rush volume may slide.
  • The Seahawks defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in the NFL (42.0 per game) this year.
  • While Chris Rodriguez Jr. has garnered 38.1% of his offense's red zone run game usage in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be much less involved in Washington's ground game near the goal line in this game at 19.1%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Washington Commanders to be the 9th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 56.7% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • At the moment, the 6th-most run-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (47.2% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Commanders.
  • The Commanders have run the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 53.1 plays per game.
  • Chris Rodriguez Jr. ranks in just the 1st percentile when it comes to RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) with a bad core.FORMAT(RATE1,1) figure this year.
  • Chris Rodriguez Jr. ranks in the 1st percentile among running backs as it relates to catching touchdowns last year, averaging just 0.00 per game.

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