My Account Log Out
 
 
Chris Rodriguez Jr.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Chris Rodriguez Jr. Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+260/-300).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -255 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -300.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.1 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • While Chris Rodriguez Jr. has been responsible for 50.0% of his offense's red zone rush attempts in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a less important option in Washington's running game near the end zone in this contest at 33.9%.
  • Chris Rodriguez Jr. has rushed for 0.00 touchdowns per game on the ground this year, one of the lowest figures in football when it comes to running backs (1st percentile).
  • The Chicago Bears pass defense has been gouged for the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (88.2%) vs. RBs since the start of last season (88.2%).
  • This year, the poor Chicago Bears defense has surrendered a whopping 0.75 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing running backs: the biggest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the Commanders, who are favored by 5.5 points.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Washington Commanders to pass on 54.7% of their chances: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • At the moment, the 7th-most run-heavy team in the NFL in the red zone (46.6% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Commanders.
  • The Washington Commanders have run the fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 53.2 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.0 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™