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Chris Rodriguez Jr.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Los Angeles Chargers vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Chris Rodriguez Jr. Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+265/-340).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -320 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -340.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 10th-least pass-focused offense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 59.7% pass rate.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Commanders are expected by the projections to call 67.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Chargers defensive tackles profile as the best collection of DTs in the NFL this year with their run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Washington Commanders have called the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 54.0 plays per game.
  • The predictive model expects Chris Rodriguez Jr. to be a more integral piece of his offense's ground game near the goal line this week (32.3% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (22.2% in games he has played).
  • With a measly 0.0% Red Zone Target Share (1st percentile) since the start of last season, Chris Rodriguez Jr. rates among the pass-catching running backs with the lowest utilization rates near the end zone in football.
  • In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the impact it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Commanders ranks as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • The receiving touchdown field reads "0" on Chris Rodriguez Jr.'s player page last year.

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