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Chris Rodriguez Jr.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Chris Rodriguez Jr. Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+198/-265).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -230 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -265.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Washington Commanders will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Marcus Mariota in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • The model projects the Commanders to run the 6th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.5 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The Commanders have run the 5th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a staggering 59.3 plays per game.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.
  • Chris Rodriguez Jr. has earned a whopping 0.1% of his team's air yards since the start of last season: 75th percentile among running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 4th-most run-heavy offense in football near the end zone (48.3% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Washington Commanders.
  • While Chris Rodriguez Jr. has garnered 20.0% of his offense's red zone rushing play calls in games he has played since the start of last season, the leading projections forecast him to be a more important option in Washington's run game near the goal line in this contest at 33.3%.
  • Chris Rodriguez Jr. has been not been very involved his team's passing offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 1st percentile among RBs.
  • Last year, Chris Rodriguez Jr. has not caught any TDs through the air last year.

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