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Chris Rodriguez Jr.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Chris Rodriguez Jr. Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+127/-178).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -178 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -178.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Commanders may throw the ball less in this contest (and call more rushes) since they be rolling with backup quarterback Marcus Mariota.
  • As it relates to air yards, Chris Rodriguez Jr. ranks in the towering 80th percentile among running backs this year, averaging a monstrous 1.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more noteworthy than it appears since most RBs have negative air yards).
  • The Giants defense has surrendered the 2nd-most TDs through the air in the NFL to RBs: 0.31 per game this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Washington Commanders as the 8th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 52.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Washington Commanders to be the 5th-most run-heavy offense in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 48.6% red zone run rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Commanders to call the 11th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.9 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The Washington Commanders have called the 10th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 55.3 plays per game.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being predicted in this game) usually lead to lessened passing effectiveness, reduced air volume, and higher ground volume.

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