Chris Rodriguez Jr. Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Chris Rodriguez Jr.

NFL · Player Props

Chris Rodriguez Jr.

RB · Washington Commanders

Touchdowns

Washington Commanders vs Denver Broncos · Week 13, 2025

Updated Dec 1, 2025 1:17 AM EST

Analysis

Chris Rodriguez Jr. Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+210/-250).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -255 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -250.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Commanders may throw the ball less this week (and call more rushes) since they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Marcus Mariota.
The Commanders are a 6-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 135.3 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
This year, the anemic Denver Broncos defense has yielded a monstrous 0.27 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing running backs: the 5th-highest rate in the league.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Commanders to be the 3rd-most run-focused offense in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 50.6% red zone run rate.
The Washington Commanders have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 53.9 plays per game.
With a bottom-tier 0.0% Red Zone Target Rate (1st percentile) this year, Chris Rodriguez Jr. ranks as one of the RB receiving threats with the smallest workloads near the goal line in the NFL.
Chris Rodriguez Jr. ranks in just the 6th percentile for RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive usage) with a weak 0.8 figure this year.
The receiving TD line reads "0" on Chris Rodriguez Jr.'s stats page this year.

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