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Chris Rodriguez Jr.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

Washington Commanders vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Chris Rodriguez Jr. Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+385/-400).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -430 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -400.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Commanders may take to the air less in this game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup QB Marcus Mariota.
  • An extreme passing game script is implied by the Commanders being a heavy -8-point underdog in this week's game.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Commanders offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 27.57 seconds per snap.
  • The Detroit Lions linebackers profile as the best group of LBs in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Commanders to be the 3rd-most run-centric team in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 48.6% red zone run rate.
  • Among all running backs, Chris Rodriguez Jr. grades out in the 78th percentile for red zone rush attempts this year, making up 42.3% of the usage in his offense's run game near the goal line.
  • Chris Rodriguez Jr. has been has not been looked to very often his team's passing attack near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which places him in the 1st percentile among RBs.
  • With a dreadful rate of just 0.00 per game through the air (1st percentile), Chris Rodriguez Jr. ranks among the weakest receiving touchdown-scorers in the NFL among RBs last year.
  • With a stellar rate of 0.29 touchdowns on the ground per game (76th percentile), Chris Rodriguez Jr. places as one of the top rushing TD-scorers in football this year.

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