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Chris Rodriguez Jr.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Chris Rodriguez Jr. Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the model to have 131.3 offensive plays called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • Chris Rodriguez has been one of the leading running backs in the NFL at picking up extra running yardage, averaging an impressive 4.22 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 92nd percentile.
  • Opposing teams have run for the 4th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (147 per game) versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year.
  • The Cowboys linebackers profile as the worst LB corps in football this year in regard to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Commanders to be the 5th-least run-focused team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 36.6% run rate.
  • The 5th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Commanders this year (a lowly 53.0 per game on average).
  • The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.

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