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Chris Rodriguez Jr.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Los Angeles Chargers vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Chris Rodriguez Jr. Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Commanders are expected by the projections to call 67.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • Chris Rodriguez Jr. has been much more involved in his offense's running game this season (32.7% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (11.7%).
  • Chris Rodriguez Jr.'s rushing efficiency (5.33 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league since the start of last season (90th percentile among RBs).
  • With an outstanding tally of 4.21 yards after contact (94th percentile), Chris Rodriguez rates among the most formidable running backs in the NFL since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.
  • The leading projections forecast the Washington Commanders to be the 10th-most run-focused team in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 40.3% run rate.
  • The Washington Commanders have called the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 54.0 plays per game.
  • The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Chargers defensive tackles profile as the best collection of DTs in the NFL this year with their run defense.

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