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Chris Rodriguez Jr.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Chris Rodriguez Jr. Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Commanders to run the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.4 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The Commanders have run the 5th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a staggering 59.3 plays per game.
  • The model projects Chris Rodriguez Jr. to be a more integral piece of his offense's run game in this week's game (29.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (14.5% in games he has played).
  • With a stellar record of 4.83 adjusted yards per carry (81st percentile), Chris Rodriguez Jr. ranks among the best running backs in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • The Falcons defense has produced the 10th-worst efficiency against opposing ground games since the start of last season, giving up 4.69 adjusted yards-per-carry.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Washington Commanders will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Marcus Mariota in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to run on 44.5% of their downs: the 9th-highest rate on the slate this week.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.
  • As it relates to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Atlanta's group of safeties has been fantastic since the start of last season, profiling as the best in football.

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