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Chris Rodriguez Jr.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Minnesota Vikings vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Chris Rodriguez Jr. Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-125/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 39.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 44.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Commanders rank as the 9th-most run-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 42.1% run rate.
  • The projections expect Chris Rodriguez Jr. to be a much bigger part of his team's ground game in this game (34.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (24.2% in games he has played).
  • With a fantastic record of 4.74 adjusted yards per carry (79th percentile), Chris Rodriguez Jr. rates among the top pure runners in the league this year.
  • With an exceptional tally of 3.38 yards after contact (79th percentile), Chris Rodriguez places among the unyielding RBs in the league this year.
  • Opposing teams have run for the 10th-most adjusted yards in football (131 per game) versus the Vikings defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects this game to see the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 128.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Minnesota's DT corps has been terrific this year, projecting as the best in the NFL.

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