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Chris Rodriguez Jr.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Los Angeles Rams vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Chris Rodriguez Jr. Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects Chris Rodriguez to be a more integral piece of his team's run game in this contest (28.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (12.9% in games he has played).
  • Chris Rodriguez's rushing effectiveness (4.75 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL this year (86th percentile when it comes to running backs).
  • Chris Rodriguez profiles as one of the top RBs in the league at generating extra ground yardage, averaging a remarkable 3.29 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 87th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A throwing game script is suggested by the Commanders being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Washington Commanders to run on 33.8% of their opportunities: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Right now, the 8th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Commanders.
  • The Washington Commanders O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL last year at blocking for the run game.
  • The Los Angeles defensive tackles rank as the 5th-best unit in football this year with their run defense.

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