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Chris Rodriguez Jr.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Chris Rodriguez Jr. Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+150/-185).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -185.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Commanders, who are -6.5-point underdogs.
  • At the moment, the 9th-quickest paced offense in the league (adjusted for context) according to the model is the Washington Commanders.
  • Chris Rodriguez Jr.'s 18.8% Route Participation Rate this season marks a noteworthy progression in his passing attack utilization over last season's 6.6% rate.
  • The Eagles safeties rank as the worst collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Commanders to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 57.9% pass rate.
  • Chris Rodriguez Jr. has been one of the weakest RB receiving threats this year, averaging a mere 0.1 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 3rd percentile among running backs.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has yielded the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (77.4%) to RBs this year (77.4%).

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