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Chris Rodriguez Jr. Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Minnesota Vikings vs Washington Commanders

Chris Rodriguez Jr. Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-120/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. has been more involved as a potential target this year (18.6% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (6.6%).

The Vikings safeties project as the 6th-worst unit in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Commanders have been the 8th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.9% pass rate.

The model projects this game to see the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 128.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Vikings, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 29.2 per game) this year.

With a paltry 0.1 adjusted receptions per game (3rd percentile) this year, Chris Rodriguez Jr. rates among the bottom pass-game RBs in the NFL.

The Minnesota Vikings pass defense has conceded the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (75.3%) vs. RBs this year (75.3%).

More Chris Rodriguez Jr. Player Props

Chris Rodriguez Jr. ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 14

Minnesota Vikings vs Washington Commanders

Chris Rodriguez Jr. Receptions
Player Prop Week 14