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Chris Rodriguez Jr. Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Minnesota Vikings vs Washington Commanders

Chris Rodriguez Jr. Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. has been more involved as a potential target this year (18.6% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (6.6%).

Chris Rodriguez Jr. has accumulated a staggering 2.0 air yards per game this year: 88th percentile among running backs. (This may not seem very overwhelming, but most RBs have negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

The Vikings safeties project as the 6th-worst unit in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Commanders have been the 8th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.9% pass rate.

The model projects this game to see the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 128.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Vikings, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 29.2 per game) this year.

With a bad 1.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (4th percentile) this year, Chris Rodriguez Jr. has been among the worst pass-catching running backs in football.

The Vikings defense has allowed the 2nd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 22.0) vs. running backs this year.

More Chris Rodriguez Jr. Player Props

Chris Rodriguez Jr. Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 14

Minnesota Vikings vs Washington Commanders

Chris Rodriguez Jr. Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14