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Chris Rodriguez Jr.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. Carries
Player Prop Week 14

Minnesota Vikings vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Chris Rodriguez Jr. Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-112/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Commanders rank as the 9th-most run-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 42.1% run rate.
  • The projections expect Chris Rodriguez Jr. to be a much bigger part of his team's ground game in this game (34.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (24.2% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects this game to see the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 128.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Minnesota's DT corps has been terrific this year, projecting as the best in the NFL.

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