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Chris Rodriguez Jr.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. Carries
Player Prop Week 10

Washington Commanders vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Chris Rodriguez Jr. Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-120/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Commanders to be the 6th-most run-centric team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 41.2% run rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Commanders offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 27.57 seconds per snap.
  • The leading projections forecast Chris Rodriguez Jr. to be much more involved in his team's rushing attack in this contest (31.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (17.9% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Commanders may take to the air less in this game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup QB Marcus Mariota.
  • An extreme passing game script is implied by the Commanders being a heavy -8-point underdog in this week's game.
  • The Detroit Lions linebackers profile as the best group of LBs in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

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