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Chris Olave

Chris Olave Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

New Orleans Saints vs New England Patriots

Chris Olave Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+196/-240).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -235 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -240.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread indicates a passing game script for the Saints, who are -3.5-point underdogs.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see 136.6 plays on offense run: the highest number on the slate this week.

The Saints have run the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 63.6 plays per game.

The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.

While Chris Olave has been responsible for 21.4% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a much bigger part of New Orleans's passing offense near the goal line in this week's contest at 28.8%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the New Orleans Saints to be the 7th-least pass-focused team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 58.5% pass rate.

Chris Olave's receiving reliability have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 73.7% to 62.9%.

The New England defensive ends project as the worst collection of DEs in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

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