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Chris Olave

Chris Olave Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Tennessee Titans vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Chris Olave Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+162/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -170.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.7 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 5th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Saints this year (a whopping 60.1 per game on average).
  • Chris Olave has been a big part of his team's passing offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 28.2% this year, which places him in the 96th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
  • Chris Olave has notched many more air yards this season (119.0 per game) than he did last season (57.0 per game).
  • Chris Olave's 72.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 45.5.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Saints to pass on 52.5% of their plays: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • Chris Olave's 64.5% Adjusted Catch Rate this year signifies a remarkable decline in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 73.7% rate.
  • This year, the anemic Tennessee Titans run defense has yielded a massive 1.27 rushing TDs per game to opposing teams: the 3rd-worst rate in the NFL.

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