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Chris Olave

Chris Olave Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Chris Olave Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+200/-225).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -235 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -225.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see 130.7 plays on offense run: the 5th-highest number among all games this week.
  • The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the New Orleans Saints this year (a colossal 59.1 per game on average).
  • The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.
  • Chris Olave has been heavily involved in his team's offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 26.5% this year, which places him in the 94th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
  • Chris Olave has totaled significantly more air yards this year (107.0 per game) than he did last year (57.0 per game).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 3rd-least pass-oriented team in the league (55.8% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the New Orleans Saints.
  • Chris Olave's 65.3% Adjusted Catch% this year shows a material regression in his pass-catching skills over last year's 73.7% rate.
  • The Panthers pass defense has allowed the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (62.3%) to WRs this year (62.3%).
  • The Panthers defense has surrendered the 8th-fewest receiving TDs in the NFL to wide receivers: 0.69 per game this year.
  • As it relates to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Carolina's collection of LBs has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 6th-worst in football. in football.

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