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Chris Olave

Chris Olave Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Chris Olave Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+220/-250).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -265 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -250.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Saints being a giant -7.5-point underdog in this game.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the New Orleans Saints are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 65.8 total plays in this contest: the 7th-most among all teams this week.
  • The 7th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the New Orleans Saints this year (a monstrous 59.9 per game on average).
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (36.0 per game) this year.
  • Chris Olave has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 26.5% this year, which ranks him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 3rd-least pass-heavy team in football (56.7% context-neutralized) according to the model is the New Orleans Saints.
  • Chris Olave's 65.6% Adjusted Catch% this year shows a significant decrease in his receiving prowess over last year's 73.7% figure.
  • This year, the daunting Buccaneers defense has allowed a measly 62.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 9th-lowest rate in the NFL.
  • When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Tampa Bay's unit has been terrific this year, grading out as the best in football.

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